Elections Intelligence

Johnny Garrett

TN-6U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Garrett is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Garrett at 97.8¢ against Croley's 4.9¢, up 2.3¢ since August 3. Garrett leads 67.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Garrett · Republican contract
97.8¢
▲ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Johnny Garrett by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 94.8¢Oct 12
Johnny GarrettRepublican
97.8¢
Mike CroleyDemocratic
4.9¢

2,342 traded · 2,056 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Garrett v Croley

Metric by metric
Garrett
Croley
97.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.9¢
$2.38M
RaisedFEC, through July 17
$35.4K
$287.6K
Cash on handFEC, through July 17
$2.4K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Tennessee 6th District
Prior result
R+36.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by John W. Rose.

Fundraising
67.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.