Elections Intelligence

John Elleson

IL-9U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Elleson is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Elleson at 3.7¢ against Biss's 98.7¢, down 1.3¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Elleson · Republican contract
3.7¢
▼ 1.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on John Elleson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 1.9¢Oct 12
John EllesonRepublican
3.7¢
Daniel BissDemocratic
98.7¢

2,947 traded · 839 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Elleson v Biss

Metric by metric
Elleson
Biss
3.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.7¢
No total for John Elleson: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.95M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$262.1K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 9th District
Prior result
D+36.8

2024 general election, won by Janice Schakowsky.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.