Elections Intelligence

John Bolton

CTAttorney General: AG under a pediment with the scales of justice
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bolton is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bolton at 3.1¢ against Tong's 96.9¢, down 6.5¢ since August 3. Tong leads 62.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bolton · Republican contract
3.1¢
▼ 6.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on John Bolton by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 30¢ · low 1¢Oct 12
John BoltonRepublican
3.1¢
William TongDemocratic · incumbent
96.9¢

7,964 traded · 5,324 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bolton v Tong

Metric by metric
Bolton
Tong
3.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
96.9¢
$10.9K
RaisedState filings, through June 30
$679.3K
$10.9K
Cash on handState filings, through June 30
$631.3K
No office on file
Holds now
Attorney General of Connecticut

The 2026 race

Connecticut Attorney General
Prior result
D+15.7

2022 general election, won by William Tong.

Fundraising
62.3 to 1

Raised, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.