Jessica Arriaga · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Arriaga is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Arriaga at 3.4¢ against Boyle's 98.8¢, up 0.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Arriaga · Republican contract

3.4¢

▲ 0.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jessica Arriaga by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4.6¢ · low 3¢Oct 12

Jessica ArriagaRepublican

3.4¢

Brendan F. BoyleDemocratic · incumbent

98.8¢

60 traded · 54 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Arriaga v Boyle

Metric by metric

Arriaga

Boyle

3.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.8¢

No total for Jessica Arriaga: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.45M

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$5.56M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 2nd District

Prior result

D+43.0

2024 general election, won by Brendan F. Boyle.