Jeremy Moss · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Moss is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Moss at 97.7¢ against Baker's 4.7¢, up 2.8¢ since August 3. Moss leads 138.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Moss · Democratic contract

97.7¢

▲ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jeremy Moss by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 93.6¢Oct 12

Jeremy MossDemocratic

97.7¢

Ethan BakerRepublican

4.7¢

2,411 traded · 1,045 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Moss v Baker

Metric by metric

Moss

Baker

97.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.7¢

$1.49M

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 15

$10.7K

$352.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 15

$2.1K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 11th District

Prior result

D+18.0

2024 general election, won by Haley Stevens.

Fundraising

138.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.