Jennifer Todd · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Todd is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Todd at 5.1¢ against Miller's 96.8¢, up 0.1¢ since August 3. Miller leads 11.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Todd · Democratic contract

5.1¢

▲ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jennifer Todd by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.7¢ · low 4.9¢Oct 12

Jennifer ToddDemocratic

5.1¢

Mary E. MillerRepublican · incumbent

96.8¢

3,139 traded · 1,960 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Todd v Miller

Metric by metric

Todd

Miller

5.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.8¢

$113.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.33M

$33.8K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$810.4K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Illinois 15th District

Prior result

R+99.0

2024 general election, won by Mary E. Miller.

Fundraising

11.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.