Jennifer Davis · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Davis is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Davis at 6.9¢ against Bean's 94.9¢, down 2.7¢ since August 3. Bean leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Davis · Republican contract

6.9¢

▼ 2.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jennifer Davis by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 5.3¢Oct 12

Jennifer DavisRepublican

6.9¢

Melissa BeanDemocratic

94.9¢

8,370 traded · 6,034 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Davis v Bean

Metric by metric

Davis

Bean

6.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

94.9¢

$1.48M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.07M

$730.4K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$144.5K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 8th District

Prior result

D+14.2

2024 general election, won by Raja Krishnamoorthi.

Fundraising

1.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.