Jeff Wilson · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Wilson is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Wilson at 3.6¢ against Budzinski's 97.9¢, down 3.4¢ since August 3. Budzinski leads 8.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Wilson · Republican contract

3.6¢

▼ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jeff Wilson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.6¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12

Jeff WilsonRepublican

3.6¢

Nikki BudzinskiDemocratic · incumbent

97.9¢

2,039 traded · 987 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wilson v Budzinski

Metric by metric

Wilson

Budzinski

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$348.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.89M

$12.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.63M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Illinois 13th District

Prior result

D+16.2

2024 general election, won by Nikki Budzinski.

Fundraising

8.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.