Jeff Frese · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Frese is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Frese at 3.5¢ against DeSaulnier's 99.4¢, up 1.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Frese · Republican contract

3.5¢

▲ 1.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jeff Frese by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 1.9¢Oct 12

Jeff FreseRepublican

3.5¢

Mark DeSaulnierDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

1,151 traded · 646 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Frese v DeSaulnier

Metric by metric

Frese

DeSaulnier

3.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.4¢

No total for Jeff Frese: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$567.3K

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$586.5K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

California 10th District

Prior result

D+33.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mark DeSaulnier.