James Marter · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Marter is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Marter at 3.6¢ against Underwood's 98.8¢, down 2.4¢ since August 3. Underwood leads 17.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Marter · Republican contract

3.6¢

▼ 2.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on James Marter by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.2¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12

James MarterRepublican

3.6¢

Lauren UnderwoodDemocratic · incumbent

98.8¢

3,293 traded · 2,659 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Marter v Underwood

Metric by metric

Marter

Underwood

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.8¢

$140.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.42M

$31.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.11M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Illinois 14th District

Prior result

D+10.2

2024 general election, won by Lauren Underwood.

Fundraising

17.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.