James D. Hooper · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hooper is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hooper at 1.8¢ against Tlaib's 99.7¢, down 3.4¢ since August 3. Tlaib leads 3556.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Hooper · Republican contract

1.8¢

▼ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on James D. Hooper by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.9¢ · low 1¢Oct 12

James D. HooperRepublican

1.8¢

Rashida TlaibDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

1,203 traded · 1,189 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hooper v Tlaib

Metric by metric

Hooper

Tlaib

1.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.7¢

$775

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$2.76M

$8.4K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$3.43M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Michigan 12th District

Prior result

D+42.9

2024 general election, won by Rashida Tlaib.

Fundraising

3556.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.