Elections Intelligence

Jack Codiga

NC-12U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Codiga is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Codiga at 4.6¢ against Adams's 98.5¢, up 3.6¢ since August 3. Adams leads 12.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Codiga · Republican contract
4.6¢
▲ 3.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jack Codiga by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.2¢ · low 1¢Oct 12
Jack CodigaRepublican
4.6¢
Alma S. AdamsDemocratic · incumbent
98.5¢

2,766 traded · 1,472 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Codiga v Adams

Metric by metric
Codiga
Adams
4.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.5¢
$28.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$370.5K
$3
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$456.6K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2014

The 2026 race

North Carolina 12th District
Prior result
D+48.0

2024 general election, won by Alma S. Adams.

Fundraising
12.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.