Elections Intelligence

Hillary Herzig

NJ-6U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Herzig is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Herzig at 4¢ against Pallone's 98.9¢, up 1.9¢ since August 3. Pallone leads 289.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Herzig · Republican contract
4.0¢
▲ 1.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Hillary Herzig by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.9¢ · low 2.1¢Oct 12
Hillary HerzigRepublican
4.0¢
Frank Pallone, Jr.Democratic · incumbent
98.9¢

1,070 traded · 208 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Herzig v Pallone

Metric by metric
Herzig
Pallone
4.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.9¢
$7.6K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.21M
$1.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3.07M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 1987

The 2026 race

New Jersey 6th District
Prior result
D+12.8

2024 general election, won by Frank Pallone, Jr..

Fundraising
289.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.