Heather Smiley · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Smiley is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Smiley at 5.5¢ against Dingell's 98.5¢, up 1.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Smiley · Republican contract

5.5¢

▲ 1.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Heather Smiley by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.2¢ · low 3.4¢Oct 12

Heather SmileyRepublican

5.5¢

Debbie DingellDemocratic · incumbent

98.5¢

1,131 traded · 1,112 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Smiley v Dingell

Metric by metric

Smiley

Dingell

5.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.5¢

No total for Heather Smiley: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.19M

—

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$414.9K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

Michigan 6th District

Prior result

D+25.5

2024 general election, won by Debbie Dingell.