George E. McDermott · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McDermott is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McDermott at 2.5¢ against Ivey's 99.6¢, down 0.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

McDermott · Republican contract

2.5¢

▼ 0.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on George E. McDermott by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.5¢ · low 1.5¢Oct 12

George E. McDermottRepublican

2.5¢

Glenn IveyDemocratic · incumbent

99.6¢

830 traded · 798 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McDermott v Ivey

Metric by metric

McDermott

Ivey

2.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.6¢

No total for George E. McDermott: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$674.4K

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$459.2K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Maryland 4th District

Prior result

D+77.2

2024 general election, won by Glenn Ivey.