George Austin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Austin is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Austin at 3.3¢ against Courtney's 99.4¢, down 1.6¢ since August 3. Courtney leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Austin · Republican contract

3.3¢

▼ 1.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on George Austin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.8¢ · low 2.8¢Oct 12

George AustinRepublican

3.3¢

Joe CourtneyDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

3,919 traded · 2,886 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Austin v Courtney

Metric by metric

Austin

Courtney

3.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.4¢

$284.0K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$760.4K

$200.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$603.2K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2007

The 2026 race

Connecticut 2nd District

Prior result

D+16.0

2024 general election, won by Joe Courtney.

Fundraising

2.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.