Genevieve Angel · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Angel is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Angel at 3.4¢ against Barragán's 99.5¢, up 2.7¢ since August 3. Barragán leads 56.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Angel · Republican contract

3.4¢

▲ 2.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Genevieve Angel by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.2¢ · low 0.7¢Oct 12

Genevieve AngelRepublican

3.4¢

Nanette Diaz BarragánDemocratic · incumbent

99.5¢

807 traded · 755 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Angel v Barragán

Metric by metric

Angel

Barragán

3.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.5¢

$13.9K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$785.8K

$8.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.09M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

California 44th District

Prior result

D+42.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Nanette Diaz Barragán.

Fundraising

56.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.