Gay Valimont · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Valimont is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Valimont at 2.7¢ against Patronis's 96.9¢, down 4.4¢ since August 3. Patronis leads 21.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Valimont · Democratic contract

2.7¢

▼ 4.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Gay Valimont by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.1¢ · low 2¢Oct 12

Gay ValimontDemocratic

2.7¢

Jimmy PatronisRepublican · incumbent

96.9¢

5,113 traded · 2,774 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Valimont v Patronis

Metric by metric

Valimont

Patronis

2.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.9¢

$174.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$3.79M

$21.8K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$935.3K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Florida 1st District

Prior result

R+32.1

2024 general election, won by Matt Gaetz.

Fundraising

21.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.