Everett Jackson · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Jackson is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Jackson at 2.7¢ against Haynes's 99.3¢, up 1¢ since August 3. Haynes leads 24.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Jackson · Republican contract

2.7¢

▲ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Everett Jackson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.2¢ · low 1.7¢Oct 12

Everett JacksonRepublican

2.7¢

Frederick Haynes IIIDemocratic

99.3¢

4,152 traded · 2,868 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jackson v Haynes

Metric by metric

Jackson

Haynes

2.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.3¢

$17.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$420.2K

$1.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$119.8K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 30th District

Prior result

Crockett +69.8

Crockett won 84.9% to 15.1% over Jrmar “J J” Jefferson (Libertarian) (2024).

Fundraising

24.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.