Eric Ching · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Ching is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Ching at 4¢ against Cisneros's 98¢, up 1¢ since August 3. Cisneros leads 8.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ching · Republican contract

4.0¢

▲ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Eric Ching by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.4¢ · low 3¢Oct 12

Eric ChingRepublican

4.0¢

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.Democratic · incumbent

98.0¢

458 traded · 445 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ching v Cisneros

Metric by metric

Ching

Cisneros

4.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.0¢

$81.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$705.3K

$64.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$259.8K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

California 31st District

Prior result

D+19.4

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr..

Fundraising

8.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.