Elections Intelligence

Elizabeth Kirtley

OH-6U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Kirtley is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Kirtley at 3.7¢ against Rulli's 98¢, down 2.8¢ since August 3. Rulli leads 983 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Kirtley · Democratic contract
3.7¢
▼ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Elizabeth Kirtley by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.5¢ · low 3.7¢Oct 12
Elizabeth KirtleyDemocratic
3.7¢
Michael A. RulliRepublican · incumbent
98.0¢

10,082 traded · 3,363 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kirtley v Rulli

Metric by metric
Kirtley
Rulli
3.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
$1.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.11M
$1.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$269.7K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2024

The 2026 race

Ohio 6th District
Prior result
R+33.5

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Michael A. Rulli.

Fundraising
983 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.