Doug A. Ollivant · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Ollivant is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Ollivant at 6.3¢ against Vindman's 94.6¢, up 1.8¢ since August 3. Vindman leads 49.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ollivant · Republican contract

6.3¢

▲ 1.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Doug A. Ollivant by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 4.5¢Oct 12

Doug A. OllivantRepublican

6.3¢

Eugene Simon VindmanDemocratic · incumbent

94.6¢

27,519 traded · 18,342 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ollivant v Vindman

Metric by metric

Ollivant

Vindman

6.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

94.6¢

$251.1K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$12.36M

$65.8K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$6.57M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Virginia 7th District

Prior result

D+2.6

2024 general election, won by Eugene Simon Vindman.

Fundraising

49.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.