Elections Intelligence

Donna Miller

IL-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Miller is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Miller at 98.2¢ against Noack's 5¢, up 0.9¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Miller · Democratic contract
98.2¢
▲ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Donna Miller by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.2¢Oct 12
Donna MillerDemocratic
98.2¢
Michael NoackRepublican
5.0¢

1,154 traded · 492 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Miller v Noack

Metric by metric
Miller
Noack
98.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.0¢
$2.45M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Michael Noack: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$40.5K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 2nd District
Prior result
D+35.2

2024 general election, won by Robin Kelly.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.