Elections Intelligence

Donavan McKinney

MI-13U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McKinney is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McKinney at 99.7¢ against Nykoriak's 1.9¢, up 1.6¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
McKinney · Democratic contract
99.7¢
▲ 1.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Donavan McKinney by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98.1¢Oct 12
Donavan McKinneyDemocratic
99.7¢
T.P. NykoriakRepublican
1.9¢

1,185 traded · 1,127 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McKinney v Nykoriak

Metric by metric
McKinney
Nykoriak
99.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
1.9¢
$1.37M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
No total for T.P. Nykoriak: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$142.9K
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
—
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 13th District
Prior result
D+41.4

2024 general election, won by Shri Thanedar.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.