Dave Wallace · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Wallace is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Wallace at 4.6¢ against Olszewski's 97.9¢, down 2.9¢ since August 3. Olszewski leads 51.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Wallace · Republican contract

4.6¢

▼ 2.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Dave Wallace by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.5¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12

Dave WallaceRepublican

4.6¢

Johnny Olszewski, Jr.Democratic · incumbent

97.9¢

4,068 traded · 2,923 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wallace v Olszewski

Metric by metric

Wallace

Olszewski

4.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$20.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.04M

$3.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$614.3K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Maryland 2nd District

Prior result

D+18.6

2024 general election, won by Johnny Olszewski, Jr..

Fundraising

51.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.