Dave Dawson
IA-4What the Signal reads
Safe R
Dawson is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Dawson at 5.6¢ against McGowan's 96.9¢, down 3.6¢ since August 3. McGowan leads 5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Dawson · Democratic contract
5.6¢
▼ 3.6¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Dave Dawson by name.
14,451 traded · 7,603 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Dawson v McGowan
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Iowa 4th DistrictPrior result
R+34.3
2024 general election, won by Randy Feenstra.
Fundraising
5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.