Daniel Francis Butierez Sr. · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Butierez is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Butierez at 2.1¢ against Grijalva's 99.7¢, down 2.9¢ since August 3. Grijalva leads 10.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Butierez · Republican contract

2.1¢

▼ 2.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Daniel Francis Butierez Sr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.9¢ · low 2.1¢Oct 12

Daniel Francis Butierez Sr.Republican

2.1¢

Adelita S. GrijalvaDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

1,030 traded · 876 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Butierez v Grijalva

Metric by metric

Butierez

Grijalva

2.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.7¢

$224.4K

RaisedFEC, through July 1

$2.29M

$11.4K

Cash on handFEC, through July 1

$428.0K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Arizona 7th District

Prior result

D+40.1

2025 general election, won by Adelita S. Grijalva.

Fundraising

10.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.