Elections Intelligence

Daniel Biss

IL-9U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Biss is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Biss at 98.7¢ against Elleson's 3.7¢, up 3.7¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Biss · Democratic contract
98.7¢
▲ 3.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Daniel Biss by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 95¢Oct 12
Daniel BissDemocratic
98.7¢
John EllesonRepublican
3.7¢

2,947 traded · 839 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Biss v Elleson

Metric by metric
Biss
Elleson
98.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.7¢
$2.95M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for John Elleson: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$262.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 9th District
Prior result
D+36.8

2024 general election, won by Janice Schakowsky.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.