Cristian Morales · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Morales is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Morales at 3.5¢ against Waters's 98.3¢, up 0.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Morales · Republican contract

3.5¢

▲ 0.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Cristian Morales by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.1¢ · low 3¢Oct 12

Cristian MoralesRepublican

3.5¢

Maxine WatersDemocratic · incumbent

98.3¢

1,986 traded · 1,912 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Morales v Waters

Metric by metric

Morales

Waters

3.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.3¢

No total for Cristian Morales: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$863.7K

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$269.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 1991

The 2026 race

California 43rd District

Prior result

D+50.1

2024 general election, won by Maxine Waters.