Elections Intelligence

Colin Allred

TX-33U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Allred is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Allred at 98.8¢ against Gillespie's 4.9¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Allred · Democratic contract
98.8¢
▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Colin Allred by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98.8¢Oct 12
Colin AllredDemocratic
98.8¢
Patrick GillespieRepublican
4.9¢

746 traded · 734 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Allred v Gillespie

Metric by metric
Allred
Gillespie
98.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.9¢
$7.43M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Patrick Gillespie: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$159.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 33rd District
Prior result
D+37.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Marc A. Veasey.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.