Elections Intelligence

Christopher Lancia

CT-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
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What the Signal reads

Safe D

Lancia is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Lancia at 4.4¢ against DeLauro's 98.2¢, up 2.8¢ since August 3. DeLauro leads 78.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Lancia · Republican contract
4.4¢
▲ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Christopher Lancia by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.8¢ · low 1.6¢Oct 12
Christopher LanciaRepublican
4.4¢
Rosa L. DeLauroDemocratic · incumbent
98.2¢

1,148 traded · 1,125 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lancia v DeLauro

Metric by metric
Lancia
DeLauro
4.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.2¢
$14.6K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.15M
$4.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$349.4K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 1991

The 2026 race

Connecticut 3rd District
Prior result
D+17.8

2024 general election, won by Rosa L. DeLauro.

Fundraising
78.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.