Elections Intelligence

Chris Stigall

MO-6U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Stigall is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Stigall at 97¢ against Smead's 5.2¢, down 1.1¢ since August 3. Stigall leads 8.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Stigall · Republican contract
97.0¢
▼ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Chris Stigall by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.7¢ · low 95.6¢Oct 12
Chris StigallRepublican
97.0¢
Josh SmeadDemocratic
5.2¢

5,666 traded · 3,838 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Stigall v Smead

Metric by metric
Stigall
Smead
97.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.2¢
$599.3K
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$71.9K
$166.0K
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$16.7K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Missouri 6th District
Prior result
R+43.8

2024 general election, won by Sam Graves.

Fundraising
8.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.