Chris Reichard · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Reichard is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Reichard at 2.2¢ against Smith's 98.9¢, down 0.8¢ since August 3. Smith leads 927.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Reichard · Democratic contract

2.2¢

▼ 0.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Chris Reichard by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.5¢ · low 2.2¢Oct 12

Chris ReichardDemocratic

2.2¢

Jason SmithRepublican · incumbent

98.9¢

366 traded · 359 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Reichard v Smith

Metric by metric

Reichard

Smith

2.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.9¢

$5.7K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$5.26M

$1.9K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$5.01M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

Missouri 8th District

Prior result

R+54.4

2024 general election, won by Jason Smith.

Fundraising

927.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.