Elections Intelligence

Chris Gober

TX-10U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Likely to win
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What the Signal reads

Likely R

Gober is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Gober at 91.7¢ against Rourk's 9.7¢, up 1.7¢ since August 3. The polling average has Gober ahead by 7 points, and Gober leads 7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Gober · Republican contract
91.7¢
▲ 1.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Chris Gober by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.3¢ · low 90¢Oct 12
Chris GoberRepublican
91.7¢
Caitlin RourkDemocratic
9.7¢

8,554 traded · 4,049 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gober v Rourk

Metric by metric
Gober
Rourk
91.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
9.7¢
$2.56M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$364.0K
$119.6K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$92.1K
48%
Latest pollChange Research · Sep 22
41%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 10th District
Latest poll
R+7

Change Research, September 22.

Prior result
R+29.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Michael T. McCaul.

Fundraising
7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.