Chris Chaffee · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Chaffee is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Chaffee at 3.3¢ against Boafo's 98.8¢, down 1.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Chaffee · Republican contract

3.3¢

▼ 1.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Chris Chaffee by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.5¢ · low 2.5¢Oct 12

Chris ChaffeeRepublican

3.3¢

Adrian BoafoDemocratic

98.8¢

566 traded · 536 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Chaffee v Boafo

Metric by metric

Chaffee

Boafo

3.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.8¢

No total for Chris Chaffee: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.68M

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$91.9K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Maryland 5th District

Prior result

D+35.7

2024 general election, won by Steny Hoyer.