Elections Intelligence

Chelsey Hockett

TX-5U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Hockett is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Hockett at 2.7¢ against Gooden's 99.5¢, down 6.3¢ since August 3. Gooden leads 105.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hockett · Democratic contract
2.7¢
▼ 6.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Chelsey Hockett by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 2.7¢Oct 12
Chelsey HockettDemocratic
2.7¢
Lance GoodenRepublican · incumbent
99.5¢

5,390 traded · 3,405 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hockett v Gooden

Metric by metric
Hockett
Gooden
2.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.5¢
$12.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.34M
$5.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.33M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Texas 5th District
Prior result
R+28.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Lance Gooden.

Fundraising
105.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.