Elections Intelligence

Charles Hoelter

CA-15U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hoelter is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hoelter at 3¢ against Mullin's 98¢, down 2.1¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hoelter · Republican contract
3.0¢
▼ 2.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Charles Hoelter by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 2.9¢Oct 12
Charles HoelterRepublican
3.0¢
Kevin MullinDemocratic · incumbent
98.0¢

15,283 traded · 10,809 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hoelter v Mullin

Metric by metric
Hoelter
Mullin
3.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
No total for Charles Hoelter: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$819.7K
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$219.7K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

California 15th District
Prior result
D+46.2

2024 general election, won by Kevin Mullin.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.