Carmen Bucco · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bucco is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bucco at 2¢ against McIver's 99.7¢, down 2¢ since August 3. McIver leads 941.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bucco · Republican contract

2.0¢

▼ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Carmen Bucco by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4¢ · low 1.3¢Oct 12

Carmen BuccoRepublican

2.0¢

LaMonica McIverDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

1,561 traded · 1,517 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bucco v McIver

Metric by metric

Bucco

McIver

2.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.7¢

$2.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.14M

$1.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$814.1K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2024

The 2026 race

New Jersey 10th District

Prior result

D+48.8

2024 general election, won by LaMonica McIver.

Fundraising

941.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.