Callie Barr · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Barr is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Barr at 11¢ against Bergman's 90.1¢, down 2¢ since August 3. Bergman leads 2.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Barr · Democratic contract

11.0¢

▼ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Callie Barr by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 13¢ · low 5.7¢Oct 12

Callie BarrDemocratic

11.0¢

Jack BergmanRepublican · incumbent

90.1¢

23,874 traded · 6,932 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Barr v Bergman

Metric by metric

Barr

Bergman

11.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

90.1¢

$824.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.92M

$530.7K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$660.2K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Michigan 1st District

Prior result

R+21.2

2024 general election, won by Jack Bergman.

Fundraising

2.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.