Caitlin Rourk
TX-10What the Signal reads
Likely R
Rourk is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Rourk at 9.7¢ against Gober's 91.7¢, down 2.3¢ since August 3. The polling average has Gober ahead by 7 points, and Gober leads 7 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Rourk · Democratic contract
9.7¢
▼ 2.3¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Caitlin Rourk by name.
8,554 traded · 4,049 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Rourk v Gober
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 10th DistrictLatest poll
R+7
Change Research, September 22.
Prior result
R+29.6
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Michael T. McCaul.
Fundraising
7 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.