Elections Intelligence

Brad Lander

NY-10U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Lander is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Lander at 99.7¢ against Moore's 1.1¢, up 0.9¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Lander · Democratic contract
99.7¢
▲ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Brad Lander by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98.8¢Oct 12
Brad LanderDemocratic
99.7¢
Jennifer E. MooreRepublican
1.1¢

18,896 traded · 4,559 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lander v Moore

Metric by metric
Lander
Moore
99.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
1.1¢
$2.46M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Jennifer E. Moore: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$55.3K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 10th District
Prior result
D+66.3

2024 general election, won by Daniel S. Goldman.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.