Bethany E Mann · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Mann is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Mann at 4.6¢ against Onder's 97.9¢, down 1.4¢ since August 3. Onder leads 21.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Mann · Democratic contract

4.6¢

▼ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bethany E Mann by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 3.3¢Oct 12

Bethany E MannDemocratic

4.6¢

Robert F. Onder, Jr.Republican · incumbent

97.9¢

5,066 traded · 4,331 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mann v Onder

Metric by metric

Mann

Onder

4.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$43.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$950.3K

$2.8K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$471.5K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Missouri 3rd District

Prior result

R+26.0

2024 general election, won by Robert F. Onder, Jr..

Fundraising

21.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.