Beth Farnham · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Farnham is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Farnham at 7.5¢ against Joyce's 96.4¢, up 2.5¢ since August 3. Joyce leads 43.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Farnham · Democratic contract

7.5¢

▲ 2.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Beth Farnham by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8¢ · low 1.6¢Oct 12

Beth FarnhamDemocratic

7.5¢

John JoyceRepublican · incumbent

96.4¢

2,015 traded · 985 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Farnham v Joyce

Metric by metric

Farnham

Joyce

7.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.4¢

$55.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.42M

$16.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.76M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 13th District

Prior result

R+48.4

2024 general election, won by John Joyce.

Fundraising

43.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.