Elections Intelligence

Berney Flowers

MD-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Flowers is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Flowers at 5.3¢ against Elfreth's 97.4¢, up 0.3¢ since August 3. Elfreth leads 89.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Flowers · Republican contract
5.3¢
▲ 0.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Berney Flowers by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.5¢ · low 5¢Oct 12
Berney FlowersRepublican
5.3¢
Sarah ElfrethDemocratic · incumbent
97.4¢

2,192 traded · 1,289 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Flowers v Elfreth

Metric by metric
Flowers
Elfreth
5.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.4¢
$12.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.14M
$2.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$335.8K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Maryland 3rd District
Prior result
D+21.4

2024 general election, won by Sarah Elfreth.

Fundraising
89.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.