Barbara Kahl · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Kahl is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Kahl at 3.7¢ against Bonamici's 99.4¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3. Bonamici leads 182.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kahl · Republican contract

3.7¢

▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Barbara Kahl by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.9¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12

Barbara KahlRepublican

3.7¢

Suzanne BonamiciDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

659 traded · 658 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kahl v Bonamici

Metric by metric

Kahl

Bonamici

3.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.4¢

$4.5K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$816.8K

$212

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$572.4K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2012

The 2026 race

Oregon 1st District

Prior result

D+40.5

2024 general election, won by Suzanne Bonamici.

Fundraising

182.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.