April A. Verlato · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Verlato is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Verlato at 2.7¢ against Chu's 98.3¢, down 0.8¢ since August 3. Chu leads 3720.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Verlato · Republican contract

2.7¢

▼ 0.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on April A. Verlato by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.3¢ · low 2.7¢Oct 12

April A. VerlatoRepublican

2.7¢

Judy ChuDemocratic · incumbent

98.3¢

3,050 traded · 1,800 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Verlato v Chu

Metric by metric

Verlato

Chu

2.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.3¢

$250

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$930.1K

$205

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.67M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2009

The 2026 race

California 28th District

Prior result

D+29.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Judy Chu.

Fundraising

3720.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.