Angélica María Dueñas

CA-29

CHALLENGER Safe DThe seat Strong favorite

Every candidate on the November ballot is a Democrat, so the seat cannot change party. The FTP Race Signal reads the seat; the Kalshi figure is Dueñas's own contract.

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Dueñas is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Dueñas at 8¢ against Rivas's 93¢, down 5¢ since August 3. Rivas leads 18 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Dueñas · Democratic contract

8.0¢

▼ 5.0¢since August 3

Aug 342 daily readings · high 15¢ · low 7¢Oct 12

Angélica María DueñasDemocratic

8.0¢

Luz M. RivasDemocratic · incumbent

93.0¢

13,497 traded · 4,517 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Dueñas v Rivas

Metric by metric

Dueñas

Rivas

8.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

93.0¢

$37.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$670.7K

$3.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$377.5K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

California 29th District

Prior result

D+39.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Luz M. Rivas.

Fundraising

18 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.