Elections Intelligence

Angel Oakley

IL-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Oakley is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Oakley at 3¢ against Ramirez's 97.9¢, unchanged since August 3. Ramirez leads 181.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Oakley · Republican contract
3.0¢
Unchangedsince August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Angel Oakley by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.1¢ · low 3¢Oct 12
Angel OakleyRepublican
3.0¢
Delia C. RamirezDemocratic · incumbent
97.9¢

1,441 traded · 1,225 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Oakley v Ramirez

Metric by metric
Oakley
Ramirez
3.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.9¢
$8.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.47M
$3.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$946.2K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Illinois 3rd District
Prior result
D+34.6

2024 general election, won by Delia C. Ramirez.

Fundraising
181.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.