Amy Chai · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Chai is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Chai at 3.2¢ against Bronin's 98.2¢, down 0.1¢ since August 3. Bronin leads 147.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Chai · Republican contract

3.2¢

▼ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Amy Chai by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.2¢ · low 3.2¢Oct 12

Amy ChaiRepublican

3.2¢

Luke BroninDemocratic

98.2¢

5,575 traded · 4,459 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Chai v Bronin

Metric by metric

Chai

Bronin

3.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.2¢

$20.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$3.07M

$344

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$600.9K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Connecticut 1st District

Prior result

D+28.3

2024 general election, won by John B. Larson.

Fundraising

147.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.