Amanda N. Pusczek · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Pusczek is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Pusczek at 1.4¢ against Aderholt's 99¢, down 4.7¢ since August 3. Aderholt leads 65.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Pusczek · Democratic contract

1.4¢

▼ 4.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Amanda N. Pusczek by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.1¢ · low 1.4¢Oct 12

Amanda N. PusczekDemocratic

1.4¢

Robert B. AderholtRepublican · incumbent

99.0¢

2,250 traded · 1,224 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pusczek v Aderholt

Metric by metric

Pusczek

Aderholt

1.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.0¢

$15.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.02M

$396

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$749.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 1997

The 2026 race

Alabama 4th District

Prior result

R+100.0

2024 general election, won by Robert B. Aderholt.

Fundraising

65.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.